India’s automobile industry has witnessed a dip is sales number in the passenger and commercial vehicle segments in FY24 and H1FY25. However, experts from CareEdge Ratings opine that this dip is no alarming for the overall industry as it is a cyclical downturn and the industry will bounce back. 
Commenting on the same during a virtual press conference, Senior Director Ranjan Sharma said, “The automobile sector has exhibited a mixed trend in H1FY25. While the two-wheeler industry has zoomed ahead at a healthy year-over-year growth rate of 16 percent, primarily driven by strong rural demand on the back of higher rural income levels, the passenger vehicle (PV) industry after witnessing healthy growth in past 2-3 years, has entered the slow lane during H1FY25 with wholesale volume growth slowing down to 2 percent on year-over-year basis due to subdued demand for entry-level cars and elevated inventory levels at dealer’s end. While two-wheeler volume growth is expected to remain healthy during FY25, overall PV volume growth is expected to continue to remain muted in FY25.”
“The commercial vehicle (CV) sector experienced significant growth post-pandemic, with approximately 30 percent growth in FY22 and FY23. FY22's growth was driven by a low base effect due to the pandemic's impact in FY21, while FY23 saw robust growth on a higher base. However, the momentum appears to have plateaued. Last year, the sector recorded a slight decline of around 1 percent and the current half-year shows a further decline of approximately 3 percent, primarily driven by a drop in the light commercial vehicle (LCV) segment. Meanwhile, the medium and heavy commercial vehicle (MHCV) segment has remained relatively stable,” he added. 
He also noted that infrastructure spending and increased construction activity in the second half of the fiscal year, supported by heightened government investment, could lead to some improvement. Nevertheless, for FY25 as a whole, CV volumes are expected to remain in negative territory, with an estimated decline upto 3 percent.
Commenting on how the dip in sales will fare for the overall automobile industry, he stated, “The two-wheeler segment is performing well overall. However, major CV and PV players are doing well individually, though volume growth is expected to remain neutral for a year or two, as this is cyclical. The sectors witnessed such fluctuations every 2-3 years but there is no alarming concern for the overall sector. Moreover, there are no significant concerns from a credit quality standpoint. These companies are large, have diversified portfolios and maintain a strong financial risk profile.”
He added, “The PV sector witnessed significant growth in the past couple of years, driven by its cyclical nature. The growth rate for FY25 is projected to be around 3 percent with a similar trajectory expected for FY26. The LCV segment, being more price-sensitive, has been particularly affected, showing sharper declines. For FY25, the sector is expected to close with a decline of about -1.5 percent to -2 percent. Looking ahead to FY26, even under the best-case scenario, growth is likely to remain subdued, with only minimal improvements expected, driven by the same underlying factors.”
Alluding to the performance of the electric vehicle (EV) segment, he said, “EV volumes have shown healthy growth, particularly in two-wheelers and e-buses. However, this growth has come from a very low base. Even in FY24, EV penetration remains modest with two-wheelers at approximately 5.4 percent and other segments, including passenger and commercial vehicles, at around 2 percent each. The slower pace of growth and penetration can be attributed to challenges such as underdeveloped EV charging infrastructure and the high cost of EVs compared to internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles, which continue to act as significant bottlenecks.”
 

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Union Minister of Commerce & Industry, Piyush Goyal, inaugurated the Electric Vehicle (EV) Zone at the International Electrotechnical Commission's (IEC) 89th General Meeting in New Delhi on 15 September 2025. The exhibition, hosted by the Bureau of Indian Standards (BIS), runs until 19 September at Bharat Mandapam.

The EV Zone, organised by the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM), showcases the country's progress in electric mobility. Goyal toured the pavilion, which features 31 production-ready electric vehicles from 14 major manufacturers, including Tata Motors, Mahindra & Mahindra and JSW MG Motor.

During the event, Minister Goyal emphasised that sustainability is a core pillar of India's growth strategy. He highlighted the importance of high-quality standards in protecting consumers and boosting the competitiveness of Indian-made products on the global stage. He also stated that ‘Design in India, Made in India’ products would soon be recognized globally for their reliability and excellence.

Prashant K Banerjee, Executive Director of SIAM, expressed appreciation for the government's vision, noting that the automotive industry is committed to this journey. The IEC GM 2025 has brought together over 2,000 global experts from more than 100 countries to discuss international standards, with the exhibition also featuring advancements in smart lighting, electronics, and IT manufacturing.

SIAM’s participation is part of its commitment to sustainable mobility and achieving India's Net Zero targets by 2070. Visitors to the EV Zone can also take a ‘Digital Sustainability Pledge,’ with BIS planting a sapling for each pledge made.

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The Federation of Automobile Dealers Associations (FADA) has released the results of its Dealer Satisfaction Study (DSS) 2025. The study, conducted in partnership with the Singapore-based consulting firm PremonAsia, was announced at the 7th Auto Retail Conclave on 10th September.

C.S. Vigneshwar, President, FADA, noted that the study provides a ‘true mirror’ to the relationship between dealers and OEMs. The study surveyed over 1,800 dealer principals, representing nearly 5,000 outlets across the country. For the first time, it was conducted in nine regional languages to ensure broader participation.

• JSW MG Motor captured the top position in the 4-Wheeler Mass Market segment with a score of 868 points.
• Royal Enfield led the 2-Wheeler segment with 852 points, followed by Hero MotoCorp. Both companies showed improvement from the previous year.
• Ashok Leyland retained its leadership in the Commercial Vehicle segment with 786 points.
• The 3-Wheeler segment was included again after three years, with Atul Auto topping the category with a score of 924 points.
• Volvo Cars topped the 4-Wheeler Luxury segment with 884 points.

The industry average dealer satisfaction score was 781, a 13-point increase from the previous year. Product continues to have the highest score across all categories, indicating dealers are largely satisfied with the quality, reliability and range offered by OEMs.

Rahul Sharma, Director and COO, PremonAsia, said, "close to two-thirds of dealer sentiment is shaped by after-sales service and viability factors. While after-sales service is the most important factor, Business and viability remains a key concern for dealers. Dealers cited issues such as buyback/write-off of unsold inventory, training cost-sharing arrangements and margins on vehicles and spare parts.”

Dealer satisfaction improved in the 2-wheeler segment compared to the previous year, but it declined in the 4-wheeler Mass Market and Commercial Vehicle segments. Vigneshwar stated that while the industry is performing well on product quality, structural issues like buyback policies, training costs and dealership viability cannot be ignored.

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The Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM), the apex body representing automakers in the country, has announced the wholesales for August 2025.

The automotive industry saw a total of 2.23 million vehicles sold last month, which was 5 percent higher than, 2.13 million units sold for the same period last year.

In fact, barring the passenger vehicle segment, almost all segments were in the green. The passenger vehicle with sales of 321,840 units, was down 9 percent, on the back of inventory correction and automakers recalibrating dispatches as the recent reduction in Goods & Services Tax (GST) comes into effect starting 22 September.

The three-wheeler segment reported its best-ever sales performance for August with a total of 75,759 units being sold, which was 8 percent higher YoY.

The two-wheeler segment reported a healthy 7 percent growth with a robust 1.83 million units sold, which includes 1.10 million motorcycles (+4 %) and 683,397 scooters (+13 percent).

Rajesh Menon, Director General, SIAM said, “Sales of passenger vehicles in August 2025 de-grew by (-) 8.8 percent, posting sales of 3.22 lakh units as compared to August of previous year, primarily due to recalibration of dispatches by passenger vehicle manufacturers. Three wheelers posted their highest ever sales of August in 2025 of 0.76 lakh units, with a growth of 8.3 percent as compared to August 2024. Two-wheeler segment grew by 7.1 percent in August 2025, as compared to August 2024, with sales of 18.34 lakh units. The landmark decision of government of India to reduce the GST rates on vehicles will go a long way in enabling broader access to mobility and inject fresh momentum into the Indian automotive sector in the upcoming festive season.”

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India’s automotive leadership used Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers' 65th Annual Convention to signal continuity on emissions and safety policy, a pragmatic push on biofuels and electrification and a growing dependence on software-defined vehicles, while framing exports and supply-chain resilience as medium-term priorities.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi, in a special message, said India must achieve “true self-reliance across the entire automotive manufacturing value chain,” adding that “as the nation advances towards global leadership in green and smart transportation, opportunities for investment and collaboration are immense.”

Union Road Transport and Highways Minister Nitin Gadkari said, “We will maintain global alignment on BS7 and CAFE norms to address air pollution issues,” linking the shift to alternative fuels with macro-objectives: “Moving to biofuels helps in reducing India’s crude imports and enhances farmer incomes.”

He added, “For those aiding road accident victims, INR 25,000 will be awarded to Rakshaveers,” alongside ‘insurance up to 150,000 to accident victims,’ while stating that public campaigns and NGO engagement are ‘essential to improve human behaviour to prevent accidents.’

Gadkari also said logistics costs would ‘come down to single digit by year end,’ and cited scrappage progress with ‘more than 300,000 vehicles’ dismantled to date.

Industry capacity and localisation

Union Minister of Heavy Industries and Steel H. D. Kumaraswamy said the production-linked incentive scheme has drawn ‘more than INR 295 billion of capital investments,’ and that the steel ecosystem is working on ‘developing specialised steel for the auto sector to reduce its import dependence.’

Tarun Kapoor, Adviser to the Prime Minister, urged industry to partner with the Anusandhan National Research Foundation and to scale ‘biofuels, gaseous fuel and electric mobility’ and compressed biogas, while ‘working towards enhancing presence in global markets.’

Hanif Qureshi, Additional Secretary, Ministry of Heavy Industries, noted government support to the EV ecosystem since 2015, the installation of ‘8,900+ public chargers’ and ‘around 10,900 e-buses,’ and called for investments in electric heavy vehicles.

Software-defined vehicles and AI

Rajan Wadhera, Member, SCALE Committee and former SIAM President, chaired the session on software-defined vehicles, where Dr Christopher Borroni-Bird, Founder, Afreecar (USA), said, “The path to SDVs is a major disruption for automakers.”

Dr Bird clarified distinctions between connected vehicles and fully software-defined platforms and noting rising software share in value.

A technology leader argued, “Generative AI is not simply another tool; it is a strategic enabler that is fundamentally shaping the Indian automotive sector, while acknowledging enterprise deployments are still early.”

Andreas Tschiesner, Senior Partner, McKinsey & Company, projected that “in 2035, we expect 30 percent of all produced vehicles will be built on zonal EE architectures, with cloud-managed development, AI-powered coding and virtual twins accelerating programmes.”

Exports, FTAs and supply chains

Rajesh Agrawal, Special Secretary, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, said, “India is now increasingly looking at integrating more with the world.”

He added, “We believe the next phase of growth, beyond a 4 trillion economy, will come through exporting to international markets and noting that India has signed FTAs with 27 countries.”

Sudhakar Dalela, Secretary (Economic Relations), Ministry of External Affairs, said, “the domestic market is robust but it is equally important for the auto industry to strengthen exports and diversify its supply chain, integrating into the global markets and value chains.”

SIAM President Shailesh Chandra, who is also MD of Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles and TPEM, pointed to ‘a record 5 million vehicles exported’ and called a recent UK FTA ‘a landmark,’ describing 20 percent export growth as ‘a powerful vote of confidence.’

OEM perspectives and next steps

Shenu Agarwal, Vice President, SIAM, and MD & CEO, Ashok Leyland, said commercial vehicles remain ‘pivotal for sustainable mobility,’ backing CNG and LNG in long-haul and ‘deep localisation of electric mobility.’

K. N. Radhakrishnan, Director & CEO, TVS Motor Company, highlighted ‘strong R&D momentum,’ progress on the circular economy and the need to ‘focus on developing local talent,’ adding, ‘The customer should remain at the centre of all decision making.’

Unsoo Kim, MD & CEO, Hyundai Motor India, said GST reforms have supported domestic manufacturing and rural demand and that AI will redefine mobility within enabling frameworks under Make in India.

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