The voice about India’s car market staring at stagnancy is growing amid much selling by foreign investors in the stock market. Auto sticks of OEMs and suppliers have taken a beating lately. The reasons for stock market decline are said to be structural issues as well as geopolitical issues. In other words, they are local as well as global in their nature. The Indian auto industry – as the largest contributor of GST to the exchequer and among the highest contributor to the country's manufacturing GPD – is also quite local and global in its ways of working. 

Like any other developing nation, it is a market where the scope for an increase in automobile population is bright. It is also a market that is beset by structural issues nonetheless. With 34 cars owned per 1,000 people, the country with a population estimated to be 1,463,865,525 in 2025 has ample scope for auto sales growth. 

But as banks struggle for liquidity and a reduction in repo rate by the apex bank fails to reflect in the reduction of loan interest rates or equated monthly instalments, the structural issues facing the automobile industry are too stark to overlook.

Adding to the structural issues are perhaps developments such as the recent announecement by Maharashtra Government to levy six percent motor vehicle tax on premium electric vehicles. The leading industrialised state also has among the highest road toll taxes among other Indian states. The highway network in the state is among the most lacking and unsafe. Most roads in the state have either deteriorated or are under a seemingly unending period of repairs. 

The state government in its 2025 budget has also announced that it has raised the motor vehicle tax by one percentage point on individual-owned non-transport four-wheeler CNG and LPG vehicles. Such vehicles currently attract a seven to nine percent tax depending on their type and price.

While electricity costs have been rising with distribution companies like MSEDCL pushing for a revision in fixed and energy charges for various categories in order to bridge revenue gap, owning electric vehicles and CNG vehicles is becoming costlier though eco-friendlier.

Attracting over 200 percent in taxes, petrol and diesel prices have been at an all-time high. A timely upward revision in toll prices is only adding further to the cost of motoring in a country where close to or more than 50 of the vehicle purchase price amounts to taxes. Spares are also taxed at a hefty 28 percent and the labour costs have steeply risen post Covid-19 pandemic.

With vehicle prices being jacked up by automakers under the pretext of rising input costs by about four to five percent if not more, the Indian auto industry is clearly under pressure to maintain its margins and stay profitable.

Against the operating costs, the foot falls in the showroom are taking longer to realise into actual sales. Discounts are gaining speed and indicative of sales losing stream in some of the segments that were until recently doing very well.

Any excitement about a rebate in Income Tax up to INR 1,200,000 – it takes over INR 1,000,000 to purchase a decent car in India today – seeming to have faded into thin air, the talk about government announced a reduction in GST taxes has gained speed. When it would actually come into effect is yet to be known but the narrative has started building. The stock market does not look excited however and the money lost by domestic investors may take a long time to come back, it seems.

As US President Donald Trump speaks about exposing India’s ‘wrong’ tariff policies in the absence of any statement from the Indian government striking out his claims, the Indian market for automobiles and other consumer goods looks destined for a rough ride. Stagnancy will be a part of the plot, the repercussions of which would stem from domestic structural issues as well as geopolitical shifts where calls like ‘China Plus One’ hold no value at all anymore.

With the entry of Tesla – which has seen its sales and stock prices plummet in many of existing markets off late – set to enter India with the government lowering tariff under pressure from the US President, the subject of too much regulation needs to be examined in terms of structural strength and the industry’s ability to be competitive. Local manufacture is also a subject that needs to be looked at as MSME sector continues to shrink and take down with it the PMI index.

Skilling is also a subject that should be looked at as engineering courses lose interest with the young in the country. A manufacturing-less economy that is also witnessing the services sector face a slowdown – again due to structural and geopolitical issues – may not spell a good omen for growth in the long run. This, particularly in the case of a country whose median age in 29 years.

China’s ‘Deep seek’ has shown how the prowess in technology can shift overnight and highly influence the economy of a nation, its stock markets suddenly. In India, the auto industry should nurture the MSME sector as much as the government should. A services alternative in terms of growth over manufacturing may not hold forth in the long-term. Manufacturing exports can shrink abruptly anytime under the shifting regulatory and other market issues in the domestic marketplace and under the shifting geopolitical situations in various parts of the world that also make lucrative export markets.  

Image for representative purpose only. 

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The Indian government has published updated fuel economy rules for passenger cars, establishing higher efficiency targets that vehicle manufacturers must meet from 1st April 2027 to 31st March 2032.

The regulations for the Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) Phase III will require automakers to reduce overall fleet fuel consumption by 16.7 percent over five years. It will apply to all new passenger vehicles manufactured in or imported into India.

The framework mandates a reduction in overall fleet fuel consumption, lowering the target from 3.996 litres per 100 kilometres in 2027–28 to 3.3273 litres per 100 kilometres by 2031–32, representing a 16.7 percent efficiency improvement over five years. The reference vehicle weight under the calculation matrix has been adjusted from 1,082 kg to 1,229 kg to reflect changes in fleet composition.

The average baseline target will decrease step-by-step from 3.99 litres per 100 kilometres in FY 2027–28 down to 3.32 litres per 100 kilometres by FY 2031–32. The calculation formula has also been adjusted to account for heavier average vehicle weights across modern product lines.

To give manufacturers flexibility in meeting these targets, the policy provides incentives for adopting cleaner vehicle technologies and alternative fuels.  

• Alternative Fuel Discounts: Vehicles running on ethanol blends, flex-fuel, compressed natural gas (CNG), or compressed bio-gas (CBG) receive emissions discounts when calculating company averages.
• Energy-Saving Tech Credits: Manufacturers can claim official efficiency credits for installing 12 approved energy-saving features, including automatic start-stop systems, tyre pressure monitors, advanced heat-reflecting glass, LED exterior lighting, high-efficiency air conditioning and solar-reflective paint.
• Super Credits for Electrified Cars: Fully electric vehicles, plug-in hybrids, strong hybrids and flex-fuel hybrids receive extra weighting in fleet calculations to encourage higher production of low-emission models.

Compliance will be tracked across two multi-year testing blocks. Companies that exceed their efficiency targets will earn carbon credits, which they can carry forward, trade with other carmakers, or sell.

Manufacturers that fall short can buy credits from better-performing competitors or purchase them directly from the government’s Bureau of Energy Efficiency (BEE) during a yearly trading window.

At present, exemption will be given to low-volume car manufacturers producing fewer than 1,000 units annually from these specific target requirements.

Shenu Agarwal, President, Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM), “Automobile industry appreciates and welcomes the release of CAFÉ III Notification for Passenger Vehicles by Government of India from 1st April 2027 onwards. CAFÉ III regulation lays down a structured roadmap with aggressive annual targets for next 5-years for the Auto industry along with a market-based compliance mechanism. This will not only ensure reduction of overall fuel consumption from new Passenger Vehicle fleet but also provide an opportunity to the industry to work on various technology pathways providing multiple choices to the consumers. The CAFÉ III regulation framework provides clear predictability which will enable the Auto industry to plan investments and accelerate innovation, thereby, playing an important role in the country’s journey towards Viksit Bharat in 2047. We are thankful to Government of India for detailed and transparent consultative approach in framing this critical and forward-looking regulation after undertaking an objective and balanced assessment of various clean technology options.”

Dr. Velusamy R, President, Automotive Business, Mahindra & Mahindra, “We welcome the Government’s notification of the new CAFE-III norms. Following extensive dialogue between the Government and industry, the framework strikes a pragmatic balance between what is necessary for the environment and what is achievable for the industry, while strengthening India’s energy security. The targets are appropriately ambitious and provide a clear trajectory through 2031-32. We also welcome the inclusion of a compliance block, technology credits, cleaner-fuel benefits and super credits for EVs and other advanced technologies. At Mahindra, we are confident in our ability to meet these norms, backed by our sustained investments in technology, electrification and cleaner mobility. This is a pragmatic, forward-looking framework and a double win for the environment and India’s energy security. We thank the Government for its constructive and consultative approach.”

Rajat Mahajan, Partner and Auto Sector Leader, Deloitte India, “The CAFE 3 norms prioritize the role of transportation in tacking air pollution, and give the industry a clear direction for the next five years. The targets get tighter every year, more so for the heavy vehicles under the final draft version, but manufacturers can reap benefits by transitioning to electric, hybrid, alternative-fuel and fuel-saving technologies. Adhering the norms will require careful product planning and substantial investment in new age technologies. These norms are going to accelerate India’s NEV transition. OEMs who may not be able to switch their larger portfolio fast enough, may end up trading credits within the 2 compliance blocks to avoid penalties.”

Vikram Gulati, Country Head & Executive VP, Toyota Kirloskar Motor, "We congratulate the Government of India for bringing out a progressive and forward-looking CAFE 3 regulation that reflects the nation's aspiration to advance sustainable mobility. The CAFE 3 regulation takes due cognisance of the importance of various clean technologies using an objective and science-based assessment methodology to arrive at a regulation that is best suited for our national interests.  Therefore, aligning to a multi-pathway approach, battery electric vehicles (BEVs), Range Extenders (REEV), Plug-in Hybrid Vehicles (PHEVs), Strong Hybrid Electric Vehicles (SHEVs) and Flex Fuel Vehicles (FFVs), including Flex Fuel Strong Hybrid Vehicles (FFV-SHEV) have all been fairly recognised. This will enable the country to rapidly reduce its dependence on imported fossil fuels by leveraging the benefits of high levels of energy efficiency provided by Hybrid vehicles and substituting fossil fuels with electricity using BEVs/PHEVs/REEVs as well as with indigenous and green biofuels like ethanol, that also provide higher income opportunities to our farmers, by using FFV & FFV-SHEV. We would also like to thank the Government for following a deep & transparent consultation process with all stakeholders in formulating this regulation that allowed all points of view to be objectively evaluated and incorporated in the final regulation. This regulation is a big step forward and will play an important role in India’s march towards realising its goal of energy independence by 2047 as well as carbon net-neutral by 2070.”

Shailesh Chandra, MD & CEO, Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles, “The CAFE III framework is an important step in advancing India’s journey towards cleaner and more sustainable mobility. We welcome the Government’s consultative approach in developing a framework that combines ambitious fuel efficiency targets with market-based compliance mechanisms. Importantly, the continued recognition of zero-emission technologies reinforces the critical role of electrification in achieving India’s long-term decarbonisation objectives. The clarity and predictability provided by the framework will enable the industry to plan investments, accelerate innovation and offer customers an increasingly compelling range of cleaner mobility solutions. At Tata Motors, we remain committed to leading this transition through sustained investments in electric mobility and other technologies that can meaningfully reduce emissions.”

Tarun Garg, MD & CEO, Hyundai Motor India, “The final notification of CAFE-III norms is a positive step by the Government towards advancing sustainable mobility in India and presents a clear long-term roadmap for the auto industry. Hyundai Motor India Limited (HMIL) remains committed to complying with all applicable regulatory norms and meeting current and future CAFE requirements. The norms provide a clear and predictable regulatory roadmap through a 3+2 year compliance block structure, enabling manufacturers to undertake long-term product and technology planning with greater certainty. The framework adopts a technology-neutral approach recognizing multiple pathways to improve fleet efficiency including electrification, alternative fuels and advanced fuel-saving technologies. The provisions for credit trading, pooling and flexible compliance mechanisms offer manufacturers greater flexibility while promoting innovation, investment and competitiveness in India's transition towards sustainable mobility. HMIL has already committed to a green portfolio share of 50 percent plus over the next 4 to 5 years comprising of cleaner technologies like EVs, Hybrids, CNGs etc.”

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British construction equipment manufacturer JCB has announced capital investments across its manufacturing footprint and a leadership transition following the establishment of a land speed record using its hydrogen combustion technology.

George Bamford will become Joint Chairman alongside his father, Lord Bamford, marking the first leadership change at the top of the company in over 50 years.

The company reported its financial results for 2025, with sales turnover reaching GBP 5.7 billion (USD 7.62 billion), compared to GBP 5.8 billion (USD 7.67 billion) in 2024. Profit before tax stood at GBP 642 million (USD 858 million), down from GBP 687.3 million (USD 900 million) the previous year, while total machine sales reached 113,498 units against 119,848 units in 2024. The business maintains zero net borrowings.

Furthermore, JCB has announced a capital expenditure of GBP 100 million (USD 133 million) to modernise its headquarters in Rocester, Staffordshire, including a GBP 60 million (USD 80 million) automated powder paint plant and shop floor upgrades.

In North America, JCB will open a one-million-square-foot manufacturing plant in San Antonio, Texas, next month, which will produce Loadall telescopic handlers and access equipment while adding 1,500 jobs over five years.

In technology development, JCB is producing hydrogen combustion engines following a GBP 100 million (USD 133 million) research program. The technology was demonstrated at the Bonneville Salt Flats in Utah, where the JCB Hydromax vehicle, powered by two Derbyshire-manufactured hydrogen engines and driven by Wing Commander Andy Green, achieved a speed of 406.320 mph (653.909 kmph).

Lord Bamford, Chairman of JCB, said, “Last year JCB celebrated its 80th birthday and, as we look ahead, we are investing heavily in the future of the business – from the transformation of our Staffordshire headquarters and pioneering hydrogen technology, to our new factory in Texas. As part of that next chapter, I’m delighted that my son George will become Joint Chairman of JCB. We have never been a company that stands still, and these investments will ensure JCB is well placed to seize the opportunities ahead.”

George Bamford, Joint Chairman of JCB, said, "From the day my grandfather founded JCB in 1945, innovation and investment in Great Britain has been at the heart of everything we do. JCB Hydromax showed the world what British engineering can achieve. That same spirit is in every machine we build. While JCB has expanded globally over the years, our home has always been here, and the record investment we are making in our facilities and in new products is good news for Britain and good news for JCB."

Graeme Macdonald, CEO, JCB, said, “While 2025 was a more challenging year with mixed market conditions around the world, JCB delivered a robust performance overall. Machine sales were down by around 5 percent, but turnover remained broadly stable due to a more favourable market and product mix. Despite nil market growth in North America and a 12 percent market contraction in India – both important markets for JCB – we increased our global market share during 2025, which is an encouraging result. The overall outlook for 2026 is for moderate growth, despite ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, and with new capacity coming on stream in Texas and Staffordshire we are well placed to take advantage of it."

The company also expanded its educational intake, receiving 708 applications for 314 places at the JCB Academy for the September intake, while adding 116 apprentices and graduates to its workforce from over 6,300 applicants.

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Trev Mobility, an electric mobility platform, has appointed Ayush Agrawal as Co-Founder and Chief Operating Officer. He joins the company from Shoffr, where he served as Chief Operating Officer, and will manage operations and market expansion alongside Founder and Chief Executive Officer Naveen Gupta.

The appointment coincides with Trev's expansion from city transit into long-haul and intercity electric vehicle operations across new regional markets. From an initial fleet of two electric vehicles, Trev now operates over 100 electric vehicles, having completed 60,000 rides and entered Jaipur as its first market outside Delhi-NCR.

In his new role, Agrawal will oversee fleet deployment, vehicle utilisation, chauffeur operations, regional management teams and service delivery systems.

Naveen Gupta said, “India’s EV ecosystem is moving into a phase where the conversation has to go beyond putting more electric vehicles on the road. The next opportunity is to build operating models that can make EVs work reliably across different use cases, including long-haul and intercity mobility. Ayush brings valuable experience from building and operating a chauffeur-driven fleet business, along with a strong understanding of fleet economics, utilisation and on-ground operations. That experience will be important as we build Trev’s next phase. Together, we want to create an operating model that can demonstrate how EV mobility can scale reliably across cities and longer-distance journeys, while maintaining the level of service and customer experience that Trev is built around.”

Trev provides airport transfers, city transit, chauffeur rentals, corporate travel, and outstation mobility using an all-electric fleet. The company is developing standard operating processes covering vehicle uptime, charging schedules, route planning, chauffeur management, and service consistency across intercity corridors.

Ayush Agrawal said, “Having worked on the fleet operations side of chauffeur-driven mobility, I have seen how much the success of an EV fleet depends on what happens beyond the vehicle itself. Utilisation, charging, chauffeur deployment, route planning and service consistency all become critical as the distance and complexity of journeys increase. Trev has an opportunity to build this operating model with EVs at the centre, particularly across long-haul and intercity travel, and I am excited to work with Naveen and the team on building that at scale.”

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Arete 22 Limited, an integrated precision aluminium mobility solutions provider, has submitted its Draft Red Herring Prospectus (DRHP) to the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) as it moves towards an initial public offering. The proposed issue consists of fresh equity shares with a face value of INR 10 each, aggregating up to INR 440 crore.

The company intends to deploy the net proceeds across several priorities. Working capital requirements would receive INR 150 crore, while INR 120 crore would go towards full or partial repayment and prepayment of certain borrowings. Approximately INR 34.82 crore has been earmarked for plant and machinery at existing manufacturing facilities, with the balance directed to general corporate purposes.

Incorporated in February 2021, Arete 22 acquired Unicast Autotech Private Limited in 2026. The company manufactures aluminium alloy wheels and precision aluminium high-pressure die-cast components for automotive original equipment manufacturers. Its core business centres on alloy wheels for motorcycles and scooters, while Unicast produces high-pressure die-cast components for engines, transmissions, powertrains and structural uses.

Operating on a business-to-business basis, Arete 22 supplies directly to two-wheeler OEM customers under a build-to-print model, producing wheels according to designs and specifications set by buyers. Two alloy wheel plants support this output: a Bilaspur, Haryana, facility with 3.60 million wheels of annual installed capacity and a Kolar, Karnataka, site with 2.40 million, together totalling 6.00 million wheels and spanning roughly 27,042 square metres near major automotive clusters.

Revenue distribution has widened considerably. Karnataka led in Fiscal 2026 at INR 144.29 crore, or 26.82 percent, followed by Tamil Nadu at INR 119.47 crore, Haryana at INR 110.85 crore and Uttarakhand at INR 91.60 crore. Andhra Pradesh and Rajasthan added INR 37.00 crore and INR 33.16 crore, respectively, a marked change from Fiscal 2024 when Tamil Nadu alone represented 76.85 percent.

Financial and operational metrics have climbed sharply. SKUs expanded from 9 to 49 between Fiscal 2024 and Fiscal 2026, wheels sold rose from 745,000 to 3,179,000 units and revenue per wheel grew from INR 1,457.58 to INR 1,671.46. Revenue from operations reached INR 537.95 crore from INR 112.46 crore, while profit after tax rose to INR 44.97 crore from INR 2.92 crore and EBITDA to INR 94.68 crore from INR 13.79 crore. Unistone Capital Private Limited is banker to the issue, with Bigshare Services Private Limited as registrar.

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